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Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

Is Prison Reform Helping Us Save Money? by James Abys-Smith

Thursday, October 14th, 2010

Our economy has been improving over time, but few would say that we’re where the grass is greener yet; we’re still spending to grease the gears of the economy and trying to reign in poor financial practices in order to prevent another market failure due to said practices. Despite most economists agreeing that government spending in a recession does help the economy, and to the delight of the media, an entire movement—the Tea Party—has sprung up calling for less government spending and less wasteful spending due to deficit spending.

Realizing that most spending is critical to recovery, and that pork barrel spending is a necessary part of the political process (although no politician will ever admit to this), there are few places where budgets can be cut back quickly in order to save cash, quiet the opposition, and still have an effective recovery and reinvestment in our economy and nation.

One place to look for savings is our prison system; one thing it seems that both the left and the right agree on is that it is inefficient and does need to be rekeyed. It seems that much of this inefficiency is due to mandatory minimum laws[1]. As Supreme Court Justice Kennedy say, “in too many cases, mandatory minimums are unwise or unjust.” Let’s look at some stats from The Sentencing Project, an organization founded in 1986 to give lawyers sentencing advocacy training, it states in “The Federal Prison Population: A Statistical Analysis” that:

“More than half…of federal prisoners are serving time for a drug offense…Nearly three-fourths…of the population are non-violent offenders with no history of violence…One-third…are first-time, non-violent offenders….More than half…of persons sentenced for a drug offense in 2002 fell into the lowest…criminal history category (Category 1) of the sentencing guidelines, and in 87% of cases no weapon was involved.”

What we can extrapolate from this data is that many offenders in prison committed a Category 1 crimes (some for the first time) wherein no drugs, but no weapon, were involved. Simply put, they were probably dealing, running, or using a small amount of drugs. This is by no means a good thing, but jailing people for these crimes is definitely not the answer; it can easily be stated that—if judges did not have to give prisoners a mandatory minimum jail sentence—they could give them probation and counseling.

The Rand Monograph Report “the treatment of cocaine addicts [demand-side drug control] is 23x more effective than the eradication of coca at its source”. Clearly, giving drug offenders treatment and counsel for their actions in better than incarceration. In fact, the Office of National Drug Control Policy states that demand-side control is more effective than other forms of drug control.

Not only is the alternative to incarceration more efficient, but incarceration makes the problem worse. The Prison Policy Organization states that, “the majority of prisoners who are released either fail to successfully complete parole or are shortly returned to prison after committing a new crime.” Jens Soering, an author and current life-time prisoner suggests that growth in crime is not the main contributor to growth in the prison population, but an inefficient incarceration system that makes prisoners more likely to get reincarcerated.

So, to keep things in order we have seen the following thus far: lots of people are in jail because of non-violent, first-time, drug offenses that could be given other, more effective sentences and that prison ends up making people more likely to get put back in jail.

If we repeal mandatory minimums, and begin reforming Category 1 offenders, what is the ballpark estimate of how much money we would save in the prison system? We can look again to The Drug Policy Organization who states that, on average the cost of a prisoner is $22,632 per year. Seeing that The Drug War Facts Organization has our current prison population at about 1.5 million, and The Sentencing Project has the amount if Category 1 offenders at about 50% of the prison population we can calculate the savings from giving these people treatment instead of prison terms at around 17 billion dollars—a small sum in terms of the whole pie, but a penny saved is a penny earned—this is not to mention the savings had from not having prisoners re-enter the system due to more effective policy, and from their being a greater resource-to-prisoner ratio since less prisoners are now in jail (overcrowding creates problems in prisons that relate to this article, but that would make it a much longer piece).

So, when we need to spend money in order to save our economy, and when we need to silence constituents complaining about spending in order to remain control of the House and Senate, what can we do? We can alter mandatory minimums law. It’s got significant savings (almost the size of the NASA budget), isn’t going to hurt the economy, and makes our policies more effective on a whole.


[1] (laws that force judges to give at least a minimum prison sentence to offenders, regardless of whether or not (s)he thinks that another option is a more just outcome for the case)

The Gaza Conundrum

Tuesday, October 12th, 2010

Once again, Benjamin Netanyahu finds himself under the knife. After the debacle last month on the flotilla Mavi Marmara during which Israeli troops opened fire on Turkish activists (killing nine), international pressure has mounted on Israel to relax a failed land blockade against Gaza. This blockade was designed to protect Israeli national security after Hamas rocket attacks intensified in the fall of 2008. Since the blockade was instated, Hamas has not only reaffirmed its dominance in the region, but, utilizing a complex economic network of underground tunnels into Egypt, it has redeveloped a fragmented society that was ransacked during Israel’s military offensive last January. Israel’s aggression has also hurt them in the West Bank, where radicalized youth have turned to Hamas in droves, weakening Fatah President Mahmoud Abbas’ legitimacy, and offending valuable allies such as Turkey, the United States, and the European Union.

This week, Jerusalem has finally relented, as senior administration officials announced a new policy that will ease the land blockade against Gaza. This allows some goods to be traded between the Israeli mainland and Gazans, but limits many others, especially weapons and military materiel (and steel, which the Administration fears could be used as a weapon), to a strict “blacklist.” For the foreseeable future, the embargo on sea trade will remain almost fully intact, which will limit international aid to the strip, frustrating allies in Turkey and the European Union.

Hamas has publicly dismissed the new policy as “status quo” and has called for a wholesale removal of the blockade. But that is not feasible for the coalition between conservative Likud and nationalist Yisrael Beiteinu in the Knesset and their supporters. Although Netanyahu’s domestic political future seems secure, for now at least, a complete relaxation of the current policy would not be healthy for Israel’s national security, which is clearly his chief priority as Prime Minister.

In the post-September 11th world, national security and civil liberties are not mutually exclusive properties, especially in dealing with non-state terrorist actors who continue to take increased prominence around the world. To enhance one, government must, to some extent, sacrifice the other. Israel must find the most just and the most secure Gaza policy that is politically feasible. This will be essential in restoring its legitimacy throughout the Arab and Muslim world. But any such balance will be tenuous, especially in an environment where the national security infrastructure is often under intense scrutiny.

Simply put, this new Gaza policy is just a beginning. Even with this shift in rhetoric and regulation, the underground tunnels between Egypt and Gaza will remain in business - at least for now. Israel will continue to face political strife for limiting the flow of international aid into the desert strip, and Hamas will continue to exert its power on the strip - allowing Iran to leverage itself in the region.

A successful solution to the Gaza conundrum must include two tenets (a relaxed policy does not mean a feckless policy): meticulous UN regulation of goods entering the region (particularly weapons material), using an international mediator to legitimize the policy, and a rock-solid ceasefire agreement, ensuring that that Southern Israel is protected from rocket strikes that drove them to invade the desert strip in January 2009.

The Tough Road to Ratification

Tuesday, April 13th, 2010

This week, President Obama put his signature on perhaps the hallmark foreign policy achievement of his young presidency - a renewed START treaty agreement with Russia that calls for dramatic bilateral cuts in the nuclear stockpiles of both countries. This is a huge political victory in the international arena for Obama, breathing life into a souring relationship with Moscow, and way-siding the lack of progress in Israel-Palestine peace talks throughout the last year. This is undoubtedly a massive step toward the President’s eventual (and yes, perhaps idealistic) goal of a nuclear-free world.

The only obstacle left in the way of this ambitious initiative is ratification in the US Congress. Simple, right? Not so much. Political gridlock in Washington pervades not on domestic, but also these paramount and seemingly non-controversial foreign issues and initiatives. (more…)

The Unsung Hero of Healthcare

Wednesday, April 7th, 2010

Democrats,

It seems we’re very close to the end of a long, trying fight that has lasted nearly the entire course of Barack Obama’s young presidency and cost him most of his political capital. The House tonight, in spite of unanimous Republican opposition, passed the most comprehensive and historic social legislation since Medicare and Medicaid. This is a momentous occasion, and the credit is largely owed to (more…)

Played Out: The end of the Tea Party movement?

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

This weekend’s controversial “Tea Party” convention, boycotted by some fiscal conservative stalwarts such as Michelle Bachmann, may have been hindersome to the GOP’s populist momentum. With a recession-friendly price-tag of over 800 dollars (to see all of the convention speakers and the keynote), Tea Partiers were treated to Sarah Palin’s down-home rhetorical flashes (read straight from the palm of her hand) and the superstar power and charisma of other familiar faces from the far-right, such as Tom Tancredo, who decried President Obama as a “committed socialist ideologue” elected by “people who could not even spell the word vote or say it in English.” (more…)

Blue State Meltdown: Obama Rolls the Dice.

Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

With Scott Brown’s victory in Massachusetts last week, our party’s fears of hemorrhaging House and Senate seats in the 2010 cycle were drastically exacerbated.

President Obama, who attempted to salvage Coakley’s flagging candidacy with an eleventh hour visit on the weekend proceeding Tuesday’s election, has moved to centralize control over his party’s strategy for November, recruiting former campaign manager David Plouffe to oversee all House, Governor and Senate races, apparently a slap on the wrist for DNC head Tim Kaine, who so far hasn’t enjoyed a successful tenure (as Democrats are continuously outraised by Republicans on a month-by-month basis). This is a high stakes move for a President who often prefers compromise (though largely by necessity) to rolling the dice on more controversial, left of center measures (as he proved by quickly abandoning the public option). (more…)

Don’t Freak Out: 2010 Senate Outlook

Friday, January 15th, 2010

Dems: Don’t freak out.

If you have read my posts on this blog with any regularity, I probably have begun to ring hopelessly optimistic. I like to think of myself as an optimistic realist, but really, who cares?

Anyway, we’ve just a tough election cycle coming up that won’t get any easier, especially with the departure of Senators Chris Dodd and Byron Dorgan. Bill Ritter’s exit in Colorado has Democrats afraid that Ken Salazar’s caretaker, Sen. Michael Bennett may be facing a politically toxic environment on the western front. (more…)

Climate Change: The Next Steps.

Wednesday, January 13th, 2010

While the U.N. conference in Copenhagen fell flat in yielding substantive commitments in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and the Democrat’s Cap and Trade bill is dwindling on the floor of the U.S. Congress, Prime Minister Gordon Brown, likely headed for a landslide defeat in Britain’s June elections, has unveiled a two-pronged approach to employ “smart” power throughout the country. By placing smart energy meters in every British home by 2020 that read consumption levels and calculate costs in real time, along with a smart grid system that connects the entire country and estimates energy demand and production, affording U.K. consumers the ability to be energy and cost efficient. British Gas estimates that the company will create 2,600 jobs by 2012 by converting to smart meters. (more…)

Health Care Update: Moving Into Conference Committee

Saturday, December 26th, 2009

Christmas Eve, early in the morning. The United States Senate came together to pass a comprehensive health care reform act in a historic and dramatic session. After a century of inspiration, months of hard negotiations, and twenty-five straight days in session (almost a new record), the Senate came up with a compromise that passed the sunrise session with a vote of 60-39 (retiring Republican Jim Bunning of Kentucky decided not to show). Thus, as with all legislation, the package moves to conference committee with the House of Representatives before final votes in Congress on whether to send the agreed compromise to the President for his more-than-willing signature. (more…)

Virginia’s Polls Have Closed–Who’s to Win Virginia’s Gubernatorial Race?

Tuesday, November 3rd, 2009

Hello, everybody,

I’m Chris Z., a GW freshman. Starting tonight, I’ll be toiling in order to make at least one blog posting per week–my posts may all-in-all be multifarious in nature, with no specific interconnection amongst them.

So, tonight is of course election night. In just twenty-one minutes, the polls will be closing across the Potomac in the Commonwealth of Virginia, where voters all day have been casting their ballots in one of this year’s most influential and foreshadowing political races.

Let’s make some quick analyses based upon data and the factors that may serve as indications of tonight’s results:

Despite:

1. Explosive population growth in Northern Virginia that–with such an educated, affluent, and politically liberal to moderate populace–has favored Democratic candidates, particularly in Arlington, Alexandria, and Fairfax County’s inner suburbs;

2. President Obama’s public support of Deed’s gubernatorial candidacy in Virginia;

3. President Obama’s recent visits to Virginia’s Virginia Beach/Hampton Roads area, Virginia’s swing area in last year’s election;

4. Bob McDonnell’s contentious graduate school thesis paper that highlighted the incompatibility of working women and a productive world, which marginalized suburban Washingtonian women from his campaign,

and

5. Virginia’s trending towards the Democrats in all recent statewide elections, particularly because of the explosive growth of NOVA,

McDonnell has consistently (in fact, has always, in terms of the trendline) polled ahead of Deeds according to Pollster’s posted statistics.

According to Nate Silver at http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/, McDonnell has a 98% chance of winning.

With only 21 1 (less than!) minute until Virginia’s poll stations close, I’m predicting that Deeds will lose and McDonnell will emerge as the race’s victor.


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